Too Soon To Tell if We Should Worry

Posted by admin on November 06, 2011
Uncategorized / No Comments

The Arab spring is the story of the year, so there is no way to ignore it in this blog.

I won’t go back to the beginnings, we are where we are.

Islamic parties are in their way to have more say over the public life in Tunis, Egypt and Libya.

I have no problem with it.

Do I trust them? never trusted any political party, and nobody should.

All political parties are power hungry, Islamist parties are no exception.

The Arab awakening is so empowering to the point that everything good seems possible.

Reality check, it’s just in our heads, things can go bad again.

Our region has a very poor track record in respecting  freedoms and protecting rights, and I won’t foolishly believe things have changed all at once.

Tags: , , , , ,

Civil Disorder Is Not a Little Game

Posted by admin on August 09, 2011
Uncategorized / No Comments

The feeling of lawlessness is too bad.

London is experiencing its worse riots and looting in many decades.

The story started when a guy was shoot by police a few days ago, (he had a gun but never fired), protests started in his neighbourhood in the north of London, than, the rest is history.

Mad people benefited from the mayhem to loot shops and destroy what ever come into their way thinking they will get away with it.

I doubt they will go out to riot again tonight knowing that police in larger numbers are waiting for them.

I believe they just enjoyed three nights of chaos and they may think they won their little game.

Now that more police are on the ground, I hope the response to rioting tonight to be up to the task, aiming to fix the program and not to fix politicians’ image only.

Tags: , ,

Revolution That Changed Egypt .. well.. Sorta ..

Posted by admin on April 11, 2011
Egypt / No Comments

Tahrir Square, 25the of February revolution A few days ago, I reached out for one of the leading figures in the youth movement that toppled the Egyptian president.

I wanted to invite her to participate in a live TV program.

The young girl known for her courageous videos that called for demonstrations on the 25th of February.

It was so difficult to get hold of her on the phone, she was busy with other revolution colleagues in ongoing protests in the middle of Cairo.

The girl said she would be happy to take part of the discussions but apologized gently when she knew the exact timing of the live program.

The program starts at 10 pm, Cairo time, and finishes two hours later.

“I can’t be out that late” she told me, and when I pressed her to change her mind, she asked me to call her father and ask for his permission.

Wow, the girl who helped toppling the Egyptian president needs her father’s permission to stay out late.

She gave us her father’s phone number to contact him, and we tried to convince him that we will provide transportation to take his daughter from and to home safely.

The father also apologized and said that staying out till after mid night is something undesirable.

I am not telling this story to condemn the (revolutionary) daughter or the (loving) father, I do respect their concerns.

I am telling the story because it says something on the status of women in our societies.

I am telling it also to show how the youth movement is led by ordinary people, just like you and me.

They are living normal lives, they are just not afraid of their governments any more.

The apologies are accepted my (revolutionary) friend, and I am sorry if I asked you for too much.

I now know toppling a president is something and going out without your father’s permission is something else.

How much change the revolution has actually achieved?

Tags: , , , , , ,

Progressive or Reggressive! who cares? .. I do

Posted by admin on August 25, 2010
Lib Dems, London, Tory, UK / No Comments

david cameron and nick cleggToday, The Institute for Fiscal Studies said the measures announced in George Osborne’s budget were “regressive”, e.i, taking a proportionally greater amount from those on lower incomes, and sure the Tory government did not accept the “selective” findings

In this political climate, where partisanship  is determining the policy divide on most issues, its very normal to hear conflicting claims, and I have doubt that we will ever know for fact, who was right.

That would be the case for the big picture, the mass media.

For many people who live in this place, it will be clear who was right, and hopefully, with the help of the new media, they will be able to speak up and tell their personal stories.

Tags: , ,

Scaremongering Campaigns

Posted by admin on April 26, 2010
Labour Party, Lib Dems, The General Election, Tory / No Comments

British political parties are pressing a head with their campaigns using a common approach, its the fear mongering.

Labours tell people, vote Tory and you will put the recovery at risk.

Conservatives say if you vote Clegg you will get Brown.

So they say vote Lib Dems and you will get a hung Parliament, which,  they say, will weaken the pound sterling.

The Lib Dems basically say vote for the others and you will repeat all last century’s crises.

Do I believe them? yes I do. They all are saying the truth.

Head to Head: The Fight To Win the Voter Heart

Posted by admin on April 15, 2010
Labour Party, Lib Dems, Tory, UK / No Comments

Millions of people in the UK and around the world said to be watching the first televised prime ministerial debates tonight.

I hope the debate will focus on what matter, but I doubt it, most likely it will surf along the surface.

The winner will be determined by many minor things like the gaffes, the reaction shots, the body language.

Its a shame that the winner will be the leader who make the best  impression.

The debate is coming  just few days after all political parties had announced their manifestos, carrying big promises, and yet, failing to convince voters.

The Tories say the real change “comes when the people are inspired and mobilised, when millions of us are fired up to play a part in the nation’s future”.

In his response, Peter Mandelson, the Labour’s campaign director wrote   “We’re here to talk about Labour empowerment and Tory abandonment”.

The Lib Dems response was almost the same.

Nick Clegg said “When the Tories say we’re all in this together, what they really mean is you’re on your own”.

“Still, very few people really understand what Mr Cameron’s “big society” idea is about, which is pretty poor going after four years of clever chaps trying to shape a winning message” Anne McElvory wrote in the Evening Standard.

Tories described Labour’s manifesto as old broken promises.

We are in front of several options.

Brown being the centre of the debate as the other two would question his government record.

The second option that Cameron lead in the polls will put him in the centre of the debate.

The third that Clegg will gain the most benefiting from having an equal standing with the other two leaders.

We shall see.

The TV debate: Who’s tuning in?*

65% of the adult public say they will watch the debates

65% say they will watch and are open to being influenced

36% of women say they are likely to be influenced compared to

28% of men

37% of people between 18 and 24 say they are open to influence compared to

21% of those aged 65 and over

*Source: ComRes for The Independent and ITV News

Undecided Voter: I am a grown-up

Posted by admin on April 09, 2010
Labour Party, Lib Dems, The General Election, Tory, UK / No Comments

DON'T LET HIM TAKE BRITAIN BACK TO THE 1980S

The British political campaigns are stepping up personal attacks ahead of the May 6 election.

The question is how personal those campaigns would get? and how they will effect the votes.

Gordon Brown called Tories economic plan as a back-of-envelope set of calculations.

Lord Mandelson, the director of Labour election strategy calls George Osborne the Shallow’ Chancellor.

It has been a long time since David Cameron has launched a highly personal attack on Brown.

At some point, he branded Gordon style of Government as ’secretive, power-hoarding’ and ‘controlling’.

Darren G Lilleker, the researcher and lecturer in The Media School at Bournemouth University describes the negative campaign as a “risky strategy and one that could put off many of those unsure how to vote”.

“The big question is whether the hard sell approach works in politics – I see little evidence of this!” he added.

Rebecca Jenkins, one of the undecided voters who will be writing for The Guardian newspaper throughout the election campaign wrote “am I doomed to five weeks of this?”.

I DOUBLE THE NATIONAL DEBT VOTE FOR ME

She urged politicians to give details on their plans and to deal with her as a grown-up.

“I’m fed up with the Punch and Judy politics of Westminster, the name calling, backbiting, point scoring, finger pointing”.

Its not me saying this, it was David Cameron in his victory acceptance speech back in 2005!

Labour & Tories Want More of Your money!

Posted by admin on April 09, 2010
Labour Party, Lib Dems, The General Election, Tory / No Comments

I understand the dilemma that British voters will face in the 6th of May.

The two main political parties have announced almost identical positions on how they (wish to) tackle the economic hardship.

Labour wants to increase the National Insurance  by 1% to 12% next year in order to increase government revenue and thus can pay off the accumulated debts without the need to lay off a lot of workers, especially those in the front line services.

While the conservatives are promising to cancel this decision and work instead to  remove spending waste.

But, how they will pay for their ambition plan to slash the public debts.

Lib Dem claim that Tories will hike the VAT once they are in power.

We are not sure about this claim, but people remember that Tories actually who hiked VAT from its previous 8% to the present level at 17%.

Labour’s plan to make £15bn in efficiency savings this year may lead to fewer jobs being available.

The Tories want an extra £12bn in cuts but say this will involve axing already vacant posts rather than redundancies.

What all Parties have not said yet, how many jobs will be lost in the process.

What an irony, voters are between two options on how to spend more of their money, either NI or VAT!

and BTY,  in all cases they get fewer jobs.

Listen to Them, Vote for Yourself!

Posted by admin on April 05, 2010
Labour Party, Lib Dems, London, The General Election, UK, Uncategorized / No Comments

The countdown for the British general election is about to begin.

As we are getting close to the 6th of May, the political campaigns are getting nastier, and they may go on and on.

The governing Labour party is hoping for a fourth term, and the Tories are challenging them with promises to get the economy moving, make Britain the most family-friendly country in Europe, enhance health, education and to deal with the scandals that hit the politicians reputation in the past couple of year.

The dividing lines are not clear as they seem, they can’t be, you can’t give a precise picture of how you will run the government for four year, all you can do is to give promises and to make them at least sound real.

The multimillion campaigns will be pretty different this year by the scale of the internet campaigns, and sure,  the prime ministerial live TV debates.

We will have  interesting four weeks, and that’s I intend to blog my thoughts on the election campaigns as they evolve.

Tags: , ,

The 30th Anniversary of Siege Mecca

Posted by admin on February 07, 2010
Uncategorized / No Comments

November 20, 2009, marked the 30th anniversary of the siege of the Grand Mosque in Mecca, in which hundreds of armed extremists led by Juhayman Al Utaibi took control of the Islam holiest shrine for two weeks. It was 1979.

The attack represented an important moment in the history of the Islamic militant groups for two main reasons: the mosque’s spiritual importance in the Islamic faith and the large number of casualties.

Yaroslav Trofimov, investigative journalist and author of the book entitled (The Siege of Mecca) says “This was the turning point for the kingdom, which was experiencing a tentative modernization and liberalization until then”.

“As a price for allowing the Saudi military to violate the religious precepts and engage in combat inside the holy mosque, the Saudi scholars extracted a promise from al Saud to reverse that liberalization” he added.

Almost immediately after the Mecca siege, women were banned from Saudi TV newscasts, alcohol restrictions started to be enforced much more vigorously, and most importantly the Saudi state started pouring millions of petrodollars into the Wahhabi missionary outreach all over the world, Yaroslav noted.

Juhayman is a history

On the other hand, Dr. Khalid Al-Dakhil, a Saudi professor of political science said that the incident´s historical significance because it was the introduction of “terrorism acts” in the Kingdom.

Al-Dakhil added that Juhayman “is not a reference to anyone within these groups at the present time due to the nature of his act, its considered forbidden to carry weapons and to shed blood in the Grand Mosque in Mecca”.

He said that Juhayman “has become history” especially as the Saudi government adopted conservative policies in the areas of media and education.

“The government adopted Juhayman conservative demands” throughout the 80s of last century, Al Dakhil added.

He said the turning point came with the adverse September 11, 2001, when implemented several reforms which included reviewing the curriculum in the official education, opening more opportunities to women, reforming the judiciary body, and more recently, the ongoing discussions to re-examine the concept of mixing between men and women.

Mansour Al Nogaidan, the Saudi researcher specializing in Islamic political groups says that the siege contributed in creating a grim political mood coincided with the growing threat of the Shiite Khomeini revolution in Iran, and the involvement of the first generation of Saudis in the Afghan “Jihad” against the Soviet Union.

“Some of the decisions issued by the Ministry of the Interior in Saudi Arabia several months before the event were inline with the conservative policies seen throughout the 1980s” he added.

The Siege anniversary and the Saudi media

The Saudi press did not mention the 30th anniversary; Al Nogaidan said this was a continuation of the local media oil habit not to address this incident.

He said “after the execution of those who have participated in the occupation, the Saudi media kept silence on the incident. Juhayman name was a taboo”.

But he noted that after the “terrorist bombing” carried out by four people in the Saudi capital in November 1995, the Saudis started talking frankly about the siege.

In the past decade, we have seen a new chapter of the story, as the base and the global Jihad ideology was expanded, we saw how

Juhayman turned to an icon, Al Nogaidan added.

It should be noted that since 2002, the Saudi press published dozens of articles about the siege, but the state television was still not mentioning the incident.

Yaroslav, who visited Saudi Arabia several times while writing his book, said that a great many witnesses and participants in that event are still afraid to talk about it, and those he tracked down often refused to be interviewed.

He noted “Nevertheless, I did manage to find several survivors among the rebels, and among the Saudi troops — though some of them had to remain unnamed in the book”.

Historical Perspective

The siege began in the early hours on November 20, when hundreds of gunmen seized the Grand Mosque using rifles that they had smuggled inside coffins.

Juhayman and dozens of his followers, according to Al Nogaidan, were students of the former Saudi mufti Abdul Aziz bin Baz, and the Syrian scholar Muhammad Nasiruddin al-Albani.

Juhayman stood, and at his side was Mohammed Abdullah Al-Qahtani, to announce the return the Mahdi, whom Muslims believe that he will appear before the end of the world. Juhayman then asked the present in the mosque to swear allegiance to Al-Qahtani as the Mahdi.

With nearly 100 thousand worshippers trapped inside, the siege lasted two weeks.

Saudi security forces have carried out an extensive operation to regain control of the mosque, which succeeded and freed the hostages.

Tags: , ,